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The Imminent Demise of .NET?

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Paul Thurrott on WinInformant magazine writes  "Is .NET on the way out?".

So now it's April 2003 and I'm hearing that .NET is dead--that Microsoft will continue downplaying both the name .NET and the technologies behind it. You can find hints all around that this ".NOT" strategy might be happening right now. The 64-bit versions of Windows Server 2003 (once called Windows .NET Server, by the way) contain absolutely no .NET bits at all: No .NET Framework and no ASP .NET. Exchange Server 2003, the company's next major messaging server, contains no .NET. Office 2003, the premier office productivity suite, contains XML functionality only in the high-cost business versions and contains few native .NET features. In the biggest year ever of new product introductions from Microsoft, few if any of its products promote .NET, its supposed vision for the future.

Is .NET dead, or is Microsoft simply going through yet another round of growing pains as it attempts to figure out just what, exactly, its customers want? Frankly, I'm as confused as you probably are.

Yes, I'm just as surprised as you are!  I was planning to have yearly updates of the "101 List", however it appears that .NET is collapsing faster than I had ever imagined!  However, there have been a couple of indicators in the past few months that fortell the demise:

  • The removal of .NET name in Windows 2003 server.
  • The conspicuous absence of a .NET implementation for 64 bit version of Windows 2003 server.
  • The TIOBE index showing no growth for C# in the last 6 months.
  • The over supply and low demand for .NET books that lead to the bankruptcy of Wrox.

Finally, did you notice that the one year anniversary of .NET (last February) passed without as much as a single press release?  I had planned to publish the "101 List" to coincide with that day, well no press and therefore I never needed to.


Last modified 2003-08-17 06:04 AM

Oh yeah, .NET is dead April 2004

Posted by Anonymous User Anonymous User at 2004-04-16 07:47 AM

I noticed your predictions about .NET dying back in April of 2003. I hope you aren't one of those types who take all this technology stuff personal and fall in love with a technology. Very sad. Plus, what are you going to do when what you believe turns out wrong?

Longhorn is entirely based on .net, the .net CLR is merged into the new version of SQL Server. Very hot stuff by the way. As I have enjoyed Java in Oracle I will love .NET in SQL Server(Yukon).

So, it's a year later. Is .NET still dying. Why do you care? I'm curious.

Consultant

Posted by Anonymous User Anonymous User at 2004-12-18 10:25 AM

As a consultant, I have seen a huge interest in .net and not that much interest in Java. Places that are microsoft shops (and there are a lot of them!) are .net all the way. Which is a shame since I'm a Java guy. Time to go buy a .net book! Atleast it will be cheap :)

How's that demise of .Net thing going?

Posted by Anonymous User Anonymous User at 2005-05-10 10:07 AM

The only demise in .Net that I've seen is ver. 1.0. Ver 1.1 is in production and 2.0 is well on it's way. Maybe you are thinking of ".Net" the marketing buzz word.

.Net Framework 2.0

Posted by Anonymous User Anonymous User at 2006-02-09 07:07 PM

Everyone is really getting into the swing of .Net 2.0 now, I guess the framework is just waiting until it's gotten even more support before everyone decides its awful.

 

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